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Venture Managers Hit Fundraising Record, But Warning Signs Flash

(October 2022) - Venture capital fund managers are having a blockbuster 2022, already bursting past last year’s record fundraising total by the end of the third quarter. But no one is popping corks just yet, as key indicators such as deal volume, exits and even fundraising point to a market under strain.

New forecasting from CEPRES based on recent economic shocks predicts venture distributions to slow by 2024, deferring into later years, with the peak drop of 79% coming next year. It also expects lower lifetime performance for some venture fund vintage years stemming from current conditions.

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The CEPRES global buyout funds index has outperformed the S&P 500 and the MSCI ACWI – which tracks a broad selection of large- and mid-cap stocks from 47 markets – every quarter in every year since 2001. 

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