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Q3 2020 Private Markets Outlook

US Macroeconomy

After the steepest economic decline in history during Q2, the US GDP skyrocketed by +33.1% during Q3-2020 which is in stark contrast to the -31.4% contraction in the previous quarter. Much of the country was shut down in the second quarter due to COVID-19 and that forced the economy to decline; most businesses reopened in Q3 with economic activity underpinned by increased consumer spending (+41%), gains in business (+83%) and residential (+59%) investment, and improved exports. Although headline GDP growth was very strong, the US economy is not on strong footing with unemployment still at 7.9% which is more than double the pre-pandemic unemployment rate. Some half of the 22 million jobs lost during March and April remain unfilled; 12.6 million people are still without work.

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CEPRES' Private Credit Outlook for 2024-2025

As we move into 2024 with a 50 basis point rate cut already implemented, private credit faces a mixed yet promising outlook. Private credit is directly impacted by these rate changes.

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Private Equity's New Playing Field: North American Sports Leagues

In late August, NFL owners voted to allow private equity funds to buy stakes in NFL teams, ushering in what could end up being a marked change in the financial makeup of America's most valuable sports league.

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Forecasting Private Equity Fundraising

Fundraising forecasting, like portfolio forecasting, offers an intriguing opportunity, especially with recent advances in technologies like AI, for funds to develop more confident workflows, drive down costs, and lift overall fund performance.

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