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Q2 2020 Private Markets Outlook

In Q2-2020, the US economy had its sharpest quarterly GDP decline ever with a historic 32.9% contraction on an annualized basis during the period, which is the worst figure since the US government began recordkeeping in 1947. This comes on top of the 5.0% decline during the first quarter of 2020, and represents a 9.5% decline YoY. The negative Q2-2020 development reflects the “stay-at-home” orders issued in March and April, which partially continued into May and June, and the overall economic downturn due to the coronavirus crisis.

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Venture Capital: Is the AI Boom Repeating the Dot-Com Cycle

Thirty years of North American technology venture data reveal a $480.5bn gap between reported portfolio valuations and realized cash.

Download the report to compare the AI and dot-com cycles across capital flows, defaults, loss rates, IRR and DPI—and see what the data suggests about how much of today’s AI-driven value could ultimately convert into distributions.

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Price and Limits of the EV Trade: A Deal-Level View of Growth, Risk, and Returns in Automotive Components

DealForge analysis of 112 automotive-component investments, including 18 tire and rubber deals, reveals a 23.73% versus 0.41% median gross IRR split — while 85% of net equity value creation came from revenue growth and margin expansion.

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Private Debt: What the Transaction Data Suggests

Private debt has shifted from deployment to realization: distributions reached $490.2bn in 2024, cumulative net capital flows turned positive in 2025, and the 2021 and 2022 vintages broke sharply from previous return patterns.

Download the report to uncover why pooled and median net IRR tell very different stories, where Default, Loss and Recovery Rates are concentrated across vintages, geographies and sectors, and what the transaction data means for commitment pacing, allocation, manager selection and due diligence.

Client Exclusives

Private credit: Spotlight on deals — the winners and losers & bounce back from the crisis

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Navigating Private Debt: A Deep Dive into Historical Risk and Returns

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