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{Whitepaper} Venture Fund Investor Outlook for 2023 & Beyond

Private markets face numerous intersecting headwinds: growing volatility, geopolitical uncertainty, inflation, rising interest rates, and more. These events have led to large drops in market valuations of many startups and difficulties raising new capital in follow-on financing rounds.

These challenges have sparked concerns among portfolio managers that venture capital funds will be highly impacted in this stressed market environment.

How can venture capital investments mitigate risk and maximize returns in a stressed market?

Adjustment of distributions for the years 2022-2024

Based on these historical figures, we’ve reduced our VC distribution expectations for the years 2022-2024 in our upcoming portfolio simulations. Reducing distributions in these years means, in effect, that expected distributions are postponed to later years and hence does not alter overall expected distributions. However, in combination with the reduction of benchmark TVPIs, we decrease both, the overall expected distributions, and especially the expected distributions during the next three years.

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