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CEPRES' 2026 Private Credit Outlook

Get a data-driven view of the trends shaping private credit in 2026 — from widening performance dispersion and sector-level risk to refinancing pressure and borrower resilience. Built on CEPRES private markets data across 17,200+ funds and 157,000+ deals, this report helps investors move beyond headline market narratives and understand what is really driving outcomes at the loan level.

Download the report to explore where risk is building, where opportunity remains strongest, and why manager selection, sector expertise, and deeper portfolio transparency matter more than ever.

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Price and Limits of the EV Trade: A Deal-Level View of Growth, Risk, and Returns in Automotive Components

DealForge analysis of 112 automotive-component investments, including 18 tire and rubber deals, reveals a 23.73% versus 0.41% median gross IRR split — while 85% of net equity value creation came from revenue growth and margin expansion.

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Private Debt: What the Transaction Data Suggests

Private debt has shifted from deployment to realization: distributions reached $490.2bn in 2024, cumulative net capital flows turned positive in 2025, and the 2021 and 2022 vintages broke sharply from previous return patterns.

Download the report to uncover why pooled and median net IRR tell very different stories, where Default, Loss and Recovery Rates are concentrated across vintages, geographies and sectors, and what the transaction data means for commitment pacing, allocation, manager selection and due diligence.

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The Repricing of Private Markets: 25 Years of Data on Valuations, Leverage and Returns

LPs cannot afford to rely on outdated assumptions.

Pricing has shifted. Leverage risk is rising. Returns are under pressure. In today’s volatile market, understanding where private markets have been repriced is critical to manager selection, underwriting, and portfolio risk.

Based on 172,000+ private market deals, this whitepaper reveals how valuations, leverage, and returns have changed — including deeper analysis of North American buyouts and Software.

Download the whitepaper to see where risk is building before it shows up in your portfolio.

Client Exclusives

Private credit: Spotlight on deals — the winners and losers & bounce back from the crisis

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Navigating Private Debt: A Deep Dive into Historical Risk and Returns

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